Best Value Bet For Super Bowl MVP, Even in NY, May Be Eagles’ Miles Sanders

And here is what Caesars is seeing, courtesy of spokesman Dominic Holden: Of the 19 jurisdictions where Caesars Sportsbook offers mobile betting, all but two are favoring Philadelphia (-1.5) to cover the spread, including Wyoming, where 99% of the handle has landed on the Eagles. The two states that have seen more spread money bet on the Chiefs and Kansas, which is located less than 10 miles from Arrowhead Stadium, and Arizona, the site of Super Bowl LVII.

When it comes to the moneyline, bettors are more divided. The Eagles have received the majority of the money in 12 jurisdictions (Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan, Nevada, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia) and the Chiefs have the edge in seven (Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, New York, Ontario, Washington D.C., and Wyoming). The highest percentages of money bet on each team’s moneyline are 96% for the Chiefs in Wyoming and 91% for the Eagles in Michigan, Holden said.

The Eagles have won their two playoff games by 31 and 24. The Chiefs have won by 7 and 3. Both teams have terrific defenses. But the Eagles held their opponents to 344 yards per game; the Chiefs to 369. Only the Niners and Bills had better point differentials.

This is going to be a momentum game, and controlling the clock will be paramount. The Eagles can do that with their running game. They averaged 147.6 rushing yards per game during the regular season, a number that has ballooned to 208 in the postseason. The Chiefs are averaging 93 rushing yards in the postseason and have zero rushing TDs. The Eagles have 7.

Them s the facts, folks, and the Eagles leading rusher will likely be Sanders or Hurts. But for Sanders, rushing is his specialty. If you are buying the idea we are selling, you may want to hedge Sanders with fellow running back Kenneth Gainwell, who has 160 ground yards and a TD in the postseason. He is on the board at +13000 at FanDuel, +12500 at +5000 elsewhere.

If the Eagles lose, or if Halen gets the MVP in a win, so be it. At least you put yourself in play for a massive payoff position based upon a solid statistical foundation. Also you will not have been alone:

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